← NFL dashboard2026 · HISTORICAL MODEL ANALYSIS
Week 2 & 3 Model Replays
Updated model forecasts recomputed using earlier-week football data. These results are historical backtests, not original predictions issued before kickoff. Official locked picks and tracked profitability remain separate.
MODEL v2.2.0
16 matchupsWeek 2
Week 2 uses saved September preview spread/total lines and later-sourced reference moneyline prices. Complete original injury/weather inputs were unavailable. Replay generated 10/13/2026.
| Game | Predicted score | Winner pick | Spread pick | Total pick | Final result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ BUF | DET 25.0 – BUF 30.0 | BUF65.7% · WIN | DET +5.551.8% · LOSS | Over 54.551.4% · WIN | DET 31 – BUF 41 |
| CAR @ ATL | CAR 22.9 – ATL 21.0 | CAR54.6% · WIN | ATL +2.552.3% · LOSS | Over 43.551.2% · LOSS | CAR 34 – ATL 3 |
| MIN @ CHI | MIN 22.6 – CHI 27.4 | CHI64.2% · LOSS | CHI -4.551.3% · LOSS | Over 48.555.1% · LOSS | MIN 9 – CHI 3 |
| PHI @ TEN | PHI 23.3 – TEN 16.3 | PHI71.8% · WIN | TEN +7.048.2% · WIN | Under 39.550.1% · LOSS | PHI 24 – TEN 20 |
| PIT @ NE | PIT 18.1 – NE 23.4 | NE64.8% · WIN | PIT +5.550.9% · LOSS | Under 41.550.4% · WIN | PIT 3 – NE 20 |
| GB @ NYJ | GB 24.1 – NYJ 20.6 | GB60.5% · WIN | NYJ +3.550.0% · WIN | Over 44.550.7% · LOSS | GB 20 – NYJ 17 |
| CLE @ TB | CLE 16.6 – TB 25.0 | TB76.3% · LOSS | CLE +8.550.4% · WIN | Over 41.550.3% · WIN | CLE 23 – TB 19 |
| NO @ BAL | NO 20.1 – BAL 27.3 | BAL73.4% · LOSS | NO +7.551.1% · WIN | Over 46.552.5% · LOSS | NO 24 – BAL 17 |
| CIN @ HOU | CIN 22.3 – HOU 24.9 | HOU55.9% · LOSS | HOU -2.550.4% · LOSS | Over 46.552.5% · LOSS | CIN 20 – HOU 6 |
| JAX @ DEN | JAX 22.0 – DEN 23.5 | DEN54.7% · WIN | JAX +2.553.9% · LOSS | Under 45.550.2% · WIN | JAX 13 – DEN 20 |
| LV @ LAC | LV 18.8 – LAC 24.6 | LAC70.7% · LOSS | LV +6.552.7% · WIN | Under 43.550.5% · WIN | LV 26 – LAC 14 |
| WSH @ DAL | WSH 23.4 – DAL 26.7 | DAL63.1% · WIN | WSH +3.550.8% · LOSS | Under 50.551.3% · LOSS | WSH 20 – DAL 37 |
| SEA @ ARI | SEA 22.0 – ARI 18.7 | SEA62.7% · WIN | ARI +3.550.6% · LOSS | Over 40.550.5% · LOSS | SEA 31 – ARI 7 |
| MIA @ SF | MIA 15.8 – SF 28.7 | SF85.6% · WIN | MIA +13.552.3% · LOSS | Under 44.550.3% · LOSS | MIA 13 – SF 35 |
| IND @ KC | IND 20.2 – KC 26.6 | KC68.6% · WIN | IND +6.550.5% · WIN | Over 46.550.7% · WIN | IND 30 – KC 33 |
| NYG @ LAR | NYG 20.9 – LAR 27.2 | LAR70.8% · WIN | NYG +7.050.3% · LOSS | Under 48.551.4% · WIN | NYG 6 – LAR 28 |
MODEL v2.2.0
16 matchupsWeek 3
Week 3 uses the archived pregame spread/total/moneyline inputs, with frozen injury and game-context data. Replay generated 10/13/2026.
| Game | Predicted score | Winner pick | Spread pick | Total pick | Final result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ GB | ATL 18.6 – GB 24.2 | GB68.1% · LOSS | GB -5.550.4% · LOSS | Under 43.552.5% · LOSS | ATL 35 – GB 14 |
| CAR @ CLE | CAR 22.9 – CLE 20.0 | CAR56.1% · LOSS | CAR -2.551.4% · LOSS | Over 42.551.4% · LOSS | CAR 18 – CLE 21 |
| CIN @ PIT | CIN 22.8 – PIT 19.3 | CIN61.1% · LOSS | CIN -3.550.2% · LOSS | Under 42.551.4% · LOSS | CIN 27 – PIT 30 |
| HOU @ IND | HOU 22.5 – IND 20.5 | HOU55.3% · LOSS | IND +3.052.0% · WIN | Over 42.551.8% · LOSS | HOU 17 – IND 19 |
| KC @ MIA | KC 28.1 – MIA 17.4 | KC84.5% · WIN | MIA +11.553.3% · LOSS | Over 45.550.0% · LOSS | KC 24 – MIA 10 |
| LAC @ BUF | LAC 21.3 – BUF 29.3 | BUF73.6% · WIN | BUF -7.052.3% · WIN | Over 50.550.3% · LOSS | LAC 16 – BUF 24 |
| NYJ @ DET | NYJ 20.7 – DET 27.3 | DET70.8% · WIN | DET -6.551.0% · WIN | Over 47.551.7% · WIN | NYJ 24 – DET 31 |
| SEA @ WSH | SEA 23.0 – WSH 17.0 | SEA69.8% · LOSS | WSH +7.051.8% · WIN | Under 40.551.8% · LOSS | SEA 31 – WSH 33 |
| TEN @ NYG | TEN 18.9 – NYG 19.5 | NYG52.4% · WIN | TEN +2.557.4% · LOSS | Under 39.553.5% · WIN | TEN 7 – NYG 12 |
| NE @ JAX | NE 21.0 – JAX 23.8 | JAX56.8% · WIN | NE +3.048.8% · LOSS | Under 45.552.0% · WIN | NE 6 – JAX 35 |
| ARI @ SF | ARI 19.3 – SF 28.1 | SF78.1% · WIN | SF -8.551.3% · LOSS | Under 47.550.1% · LOSS | ARI 30 – SF 36 |
| MIN @ TB | MIN 22.0 – TB 20.6 | MIN51.2% · WIN | MIN -1.550.0% · WIN | Over 42.550.1% · LOSS | MIN 23 – TB 16 |
| BAL @ DAL | BAL 27.9 – DAL 24.9 | BAL59.4% · WIN | DAL +3.552.0% · WIN | Over 52.550.8% · WIN | BAL 34 – DAL 31 |
| LV @ NO | LV 20.8 – NO 24.2 | NO60.4% · LOSS | NO -3.049.6% · LOSS | Over 44.551.4% · WIN | LV 35 – NO 27 |
| LAR @ DEN | LAR 23.5 – DEN 21.1 | LAR55.1% · LOSS | DEN +2.550.1% · WIN | Under 45.552.8% · LOSS | LAR 26 – DEN 30 |
| PHI @ CHI | PHI 24.0 – CHI 18.4 | PHI65.5% · LOSS | PHI -4.554.6% · LOSS | Over 41.553.0% · LOSS | PHI 7 – CHI 27 |